We now know that each team needs to win 70.95% of the time in three-team football betting tips at +180 to break even. Compare the two football betting tips to determine which was more advantageous: a straight bet against the spread or a football betting tip. If we wagered straight at a sportsbook with little juice, like 5Dimes, we would pay -105. Again using the risk divided by return formula, we calculate our required break even rate to be -105. The math is 105/205=0.5122 or 51.22% for a $105 football betting tip that earns $205 (our $105 stake plus our $100 win). A straight football betting tip with less juice has a break even percentage of 51.22%, whereas a teaser has a break even percentage of 70.95%.
Now, if you’re a seasoned gambler who is accustomed to football betting tips, something may have just occurred to you. If not, take it easy; you probably feel overburdened and need more time to get used to your surroundings. A football betting tip is a better option than a straight bet whether or not those extra six points increase the win probability by 19.73%.
Six points will infrequently increase your football betting tips win probability by 19.73%, making the bulk of teasers sucker bets. To do this, you must cross significant football betting tips. The most common victory margins in the NFL are 3, 7, 10, 6, 14, 1, and 2, in that order. This explains the historical +EV of core strategy football betting tips.